Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.186649 0.214674 0.246636 0.286032 0.333625 0.389695 0.461388
2025-06-01 0.141396 0.176617 0.221272 0.283073 0.368060 0.483399 0.656401
2025-06-08 0.114158 0.151127 0.201699 0.278022 0.394156 0.571147 0.876148
2025-06-15 0.099667 0.138298 0.194554 0.285930 0.437902 0.695487 1.203064
2025-06-22 0.086096 0.123772 0.181316 0.280314 0.457194 0.784832 1.510960
2025-06-29 0.077441 0.114917 0.174681 0.283111 0.490481 0.909532 1.957257
2025-07-06 0.069456 0.105777 0.165799 0.279683 0.510625 1.014805 2.424532
2025-07-13 0.064349 0.100519 0.162434 0.285307 0.549927 1.176785 3.160005
2025-07-20 0.060183 0.096233 0.159988 0.291990 0.593229 1.367081 4.151188
2025-07-27 0.056507 0.092295 0.157508 0.297967 0.636663 1.578596 5.446128
2025-08-03 0.053546 0.089252 0.156216 0.306116 0.687980 1.840057 7.295982
2025-08-10 0.050362 0.085416 0.152814 0.308858 0.726315 2.083430 9.460337
2025-08-17 0.047277 0.081512 0.148903 0.310075 0.762403 2.347530 12.318897
2025-08-24 0.044230 0.077380 0.144025 0.308163 0.789573 2.600671 15.779776
2025-08-31 0.041240 0.073064 0.138230 0.302912 0.805286 2.821863 19.705558
2025-09-07 0.039658 0.071401 0.137945 0.311822 0.870432 3.318565 28.405946
2025-09-14 0.037130 0.067565 0.132379 0.305592 0.882167 3.570175 35.626766
2025-09-21 0.035476 0.065394 0.130329 0.308715 0.929267 4.059371 49.925487
2025-09-28 0.033527 0.062428 0.126101 0.304898 0.949367 4.418971 65.440192
2025-10-05 0.032349 0.061006 0.125350 0.311167 1.012535 5.131333 99.377055
2025-10-12 0.031317 0.059808 0.124996 0.318618 1.084676 6.015155 159.230696
2025-10-19 0.030308 0.058573 0.124407 0.325287 1.157323 7.029749 264.359569
2025-10-26 0.029480 0.057668 0.124541 0.334384 1.246718 8.370060 486.976258